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vaccine_prediction's Introduction

Influenze Vaccine Prediction

This repo explores tweets trends such as:

  • flu_vaccine_received
  • flu_vaccine_received_relevant_intent_to_receive
  • flu_vaccine_received_relevant_positive_sentiment
  • flu_vaccine_relevant
  • flu_vaccine_relevant_intent_to_receive

This repo also juxtaposes them with vaccination trends provided by HHS.

Completed:

  • Download state wise /national data and try doing weekly predictions
  • Benchmarked Prediction based on this years data for p weeks forward using data from the previous k weeks
  • Just using previous k weeks of HHS data to predict n weeks forward in time
  • Benchmark Prediction based on linear models just based on the HHS data
  • Variations of the linear model to try:
    • Combing last seasons data to predict this seasons data
    • Normalizing data by state poppulation

Things to do:

* Add google trends data to prediction features 
* Add twitter data to prediction features

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