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BD210 Data Engineering Final December 2019

Final project for UW BD210

UW BD210 Data Engineering Final


Wholesale Electricity LBMP & Irradiance Adjusted PV Revenue


I began the project downloading hourly locational based marginal price (LBMP) data from the PJM website, which is the price seen at power plants, and other interfaces with the grid across their service territory in the Mid/South-Atlantic and Midwest.

The price is determined in a day-ahead auction by PJM, the market operator. The highest price bid accepted into the auction for that hour sets price paid to all generators at that hour (generally gas generators setting price), when auction clears all generation has been procured as cheaply as possible by PJM to satisfy load. The transmission constraints and other environmental factors are reflected as add-ons to price resulting in what we see in this data as LBMP. Certain regions have higher congestion on lines due to population, industry etc.. and can exhibit higher additional costs to deliver energy there. We can see in the data, high prices cluster around population centers. In 2018, for reduced dataset I chose there were 4688 unique pnodes (pricing nodes) with complete annual data, or 41,066,880 entries and a ~3GB csv file.

US Energy Markets

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Links to Data and Notebook

PJM's LMP Model Info | PJM Tools Data Access

Scala Notebook

Further data considered

Joining by location and date to determine where and when solar facilities might best capture revenue from unique market areas and their price swings

Solar irradiance data from NREL

NREL NSRDB Data Viewer

Reference case of hourly modeled production at a solar pv facility for one year

N/A


Goals


  • Determine annual price averages at pricing nodes
  • Determine annual revenues captured by a solar facility
  • Determine highest value nodes and regions for solar
  • Present findings in Map
  • Complete analysis for multiple years (incomplete)

2018 LBMP Averages ($/MWh)

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2018 GHI Adjusted PV Revenue ($/MWh)

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