Nonfarm payroll time series analysis
PAYEMS: Total Nonfarm Payrolls, seasonally adjusted (SA), from January 1939 to March 2018.
PAYNSA: Total Nonfarm Payrolls, not seasonally adjusted (NSA), from January 1939 to March 2018.
Data obtained from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Preliminary EDA: Exploratory data analysis of nonfarm payroll datasets (PAYEMS, PAYNSA). In the latter half of the analysis, the timeframe is narrowed to the period of post-recession economic recovery (2009-2018).
ARIMA Analysis: ARIMA Modeling and analysis of NFP Data.
Spectral Analysis: Spectral Analysis of NFP Data.
Forecasting: Forecasting of last 12 months of nonfarm payrolls.
Final Report: Comprehensive report of EDA, ARIMA/Spectral Analysis, and Forecasting.