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Hospital line data provision about covid HOT 13 CLOSED

epidemics avatar epidemics commented on May 12, 2024
Hospital line data provision

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Comments (13)

wolverdude avatar wolverdude commented on May 12, 2024 1

@hnykda we can just not show the line when the data is null.

Perhaps we should also put some sort of modifier on the line since countries are expanding their critical care capacity?

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lagerros avatar lagerros commented on May 12, 2024

I collected data on critical care beds per 100k population in various countries. The conversion needed to display it on our current graph is fairly straightforward, I think, and also included here. (So what's remaining is just taking the data from notion, displaying it in d3, and adding a note to the legend -- though make sure it follows/is incorporated into the new data format #161 and here) https://www.notion.so/9db3df0271214655b13c17bb7565c40c?v=5e75cc3aed784a6baf42826304e7a923

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wolverdude avatar wolverdude commented on May 12, 2024

Should it just show up as a horizontal line like this?

image

It seems like this feature in particular will make zoom/scroll more necessary. Where is that in the pipeline?

I'm signing off for the night now. I'll look deeper into this in the morning.

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lagerros avatar lagerros commented on May 12, 2024

Yes, it should just be a horizontal line.

Zoom not currently in the pipeline; feel free to make an issue.

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wolverdude avatar wolverdude commented on May 12, 2024

I think there's a piece of missing information here. The model is predicting active cases, but it isn't predicting cases requiring hospitalization. Presumably, these will be many fewer, and for any decisions this chart would help people make, that is the actual quantity they're concerned about.

To put the hospital line on this chart as-is would be inviting them to compare apples to oranges.

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lagerros avatar lagerros commented on May 12, 2024

The amount of active cases requiring hospitalisation is an empirically measurable quantity (20% IIRC), as is the amount requiring oxygen treatment (5% IIRC) (rough guesses likely fine for reasons we discussed on call this morning). So if you have x critical care beds you can support x/5%=20x active cases.

More details on a similar guesstimate in the notion database.

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lagerros avatar lagerros commented on May 12, 2024

Screenshot_20200320-230736

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hnykda avatar hnykda commented on May 12, 2024

related: https://github.com/epidemics/epifor/issues/1
image

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hnykda avatar hnykda commented on May 12, 2024

@gavento in the new pipeline you made, this is not yet present, right? (I made it part of epidemics/epifor#8, but that's not part of the pipe).

Should we make it part of the estimate data?

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gavento avatar gavento commented on May 12, 2024

@hnykda The main blocker is now the data itself - can someone data-savvy import it into the regions.yaml database, please?

Drawing plotly trace with single horizontal line is almost trivial.
We can also pass it in estimates or whereever (would not overthnink this, we may refactor into something later when we know more about our usage etc.)

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gavento avatar gavento commented on May 12, 2024

Just noticed that #258 is a duplicate.

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hnykda avatar hnykda commented on May 12, 2024

I am closing this, done via #259

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hnykda avatar hnykda commented on May 12, 2024

followup #264

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